Fri 13 Nov

Metalac GM v Napredak: numbers & prediction

Prva Liga · Serbia
Sun 15 Nov 2026
Metalac GM 35%Draw 21%Napredak 43% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.30
75%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.24

8/10Rating
1.24Odds
2

Value bet: Napredak to win @ 2.60 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultNapredak to win43% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 11.88

Metalac GM vs Napredak prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Prva Liga action on Sunday 15 November: Metalac GM take on Napredak from 16:00 WAT. Metalac GM sit 12th with 19 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Napredak are 7th on 25 (in the top half).

Form guide

Metalac GM – form over the last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

Napredak – form over the last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat OFK Bor 1919 2–0 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Napredak have the edge: 1.3 points a game against 0.3.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 14 Aug 2026, finished Napredak 2–1 Metalac GM.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Metalac GM 1.1 – 1.3 Napredak in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 53% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Metalac GM 35% · draw 21% · Napredak 43%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.82.
  • Value angle: Napredak to win at 2.60 – we make it 43%, the price implies 38%.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Metalac GM 1–1 Napredak. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Metalac GM35%fair 2.83 · @2.45
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.30
Napredak43%fair 2.30 · @2.60
2.44Expected goals
1.13Metalac GM xG
1.30Napredak xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Metalac GM 1.1 – 1.3 Napredak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNapredak to win43%2.302.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.881.82
Draw no betNapredak (draw no bet)55%1.81–
Asian handicapMetalac GM +1 (Asian handicap)77%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals70%1.431.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.821.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.321.24
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals90%1.11–
First team to scoreNapredak to score first49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Napredak / FT Napredak23%4.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%11.88–

Recent results

Metalac GM – last 6

DLLLLD
8 Nov@ FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV1–1D
1 Novvs Jedinstvo Ub1–3L
24 Octvs Javor1–2L
17 Oct@ TSC Backa Topola1–5L
10 Octvs Teleoptik0–3L
4 Oct@ OFK Vršac0–0D
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Napredak – last 6

WLLDWD
9 Novvs OFK Bor 19192–0W
2 Nov@ Grafičar0–2L
27 Oct@ Macva0–2L
24 Oct@ Borac Cacak0–0D
17 Octvs Dubočica1–0W
11 Oct@ Naftagas0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Aug 2026Napredak v Metalac GM2–1
Metalac GM vs Napredak head-to-head page →

Prva Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Borac Cacak171133+1036
2Javor17971+2034
3TSC Backa Topola17971+1834
4OFK Vršac17935+530
5Dubočica17755026
6Semendrija 192417746025
7Napredak17746-125
8FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV17656-323
9Naftagas17575+622
10FK Vozdovac17557020
11Loznica17485-420
12Metalac GM17548-619
13Jedinstvo Ub17539-618
14Grafičar175210-517
15Teleoptik17359-914
16OFK Bor 1919172213-258

More Prva Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Metalac GM vs Napredak?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Metalac GM vs Napredak?

On our numbers Metalac GM have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Napredak 43%.

How many goals will there be in Metalac GM vs Napredak?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Metalac GM vs Napredak?

Our predicted score is Metalac GM 1–1 Napredak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Metalac GM vs Napredak?

Metalac GM vs Napredak (Prva Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.