Legia Warszawa 61%Draw 25%Raków Częstochowa 14%Expected goals 2.09 – 0.97
86%
ZoraTips pick
Legia Warszawa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.23Odds
1
Value bet: Legia Warszawa to win @ 1.84 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLegia Warszawa to win ✗61% · @1.84
Double chanceLegia Warszawa or draw ✗86% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Legia Warszawa v Raków Częstochowa in the Ekstraklasa – Sunday 8 November, 17:30 WAT, Stadion Wojska Polskiego. Legia Warszawa sit 3rd with 24 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Raków Częstochowa are 16th on 12 (in the bottom three). A 12-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Legia Warszawa – form over the last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Gornik Zabrze 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 0.8 per game.
Raków Częstochowa – form over the last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Pogon Szczecin 3–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Legia Warszawa 2.1 – 1.0 Raków Częstochowa in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 58% for over 2.5 goals, 59% for GG.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Legia Warszawa 61% · draw 25% · Raków Częstochowa 14%.
Safer play: Legia Warszawa or draw (86%) at 1.23.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Legia Warszawa to win at 1.84 – we make it 61%, the price implies 54%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Legia Warszawa or draw, rated at 86% confidence at odds of 1.23, above our fair price of 1.16, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Legia Warszawa 2–0 Raków Częstochowa. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Legia Warszawa61%fair 1.64 · @1.84
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.66
Raków Częstochowa14%fair 7.09 · @3.72
3.05Expected goals
2.09Legia Warszawa xG
0.97Raków Częstochowa xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Legia Warszawa 2.1 – 1.0 Raków Częstochowa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Legia Warszawa to win✗
61%
1.64
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Legia Warszawa or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.23 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Draw no bet
Legia Warszawa (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Legia Warszawa -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.16
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.43
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.15
First team to score
Legia Warszawa to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Legia Warszawa ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Legia Warszawa – last 6
DLDWWD
30 Oct
@ Gornik Zabrze
0–0
D
25 Oct
vs Lech Poznan
1–2
L
17 Oct
@ Cracovia Krakow
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Wisla Krakow
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Jagiellonia
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Widzew Łódź
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Raków Częstochowa – last 6
WDLWLW
2 Nov
vs Pogon Szczecin
3–1
W
27 Oct
@ Motor Lublin
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Wisla Krakow
1–2
L
16 Oct
@ Wieczysta Kraków
2–1
W
9 Oct
vs GKS Katowice
1–4
L
2 Oct
vs Polonia Bytom
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Legia Warszawa and Raków Częstochowa.
What is the prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our pick is Legia Warszawa or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
On our numbers Legia Warszawa have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Raków Częstochowa 14%.
How many goals will there be in Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our predicted score is Legia Warszawa 2–0 Raków Częstochowa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Wojska Polskiego.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
