Wed 11 Nov

Toulouse v Strasbourg: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · France · Stadium de Toulouse
3–1
FT
Toulouse 45%Draw 20%Strasbourg 34% Expected goals 1.71 – 1.45
80%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultToulouse to win ✓45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11

Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Ligue 1 action on Friday 6 November: Toulouse take on Strasbourg at Stadium de Toulouse from 20:45 WAT. Toulouse sit 12th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Strasbourg are 13th on 10 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Toulouse – form over the last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Marseille 0–2 on the road. They score 1.7 and concede 1.3 per game.

Strasbourg – form over the last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Auxerre 5–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 2.0 per game.

On form, Toulouse have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.7.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Toulouse 1.7 – 1.4 Strasbourg in expected goals – roughly 3.2 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 59% for over 2.5 goals, 64% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Toulouse 45% · draw 20% · Strasbourg 34%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.57.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 80% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Toulouse 1–1 Strasbourg. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Toulouse45%fair 2.20 · @2.20
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.70
Strasbourg34%fair 2.92 · @3.00
3.16Expected goals
1.71Toulouse xG
1.45Strasbourg xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%

From our goals model: Toulouse 1.7 – 1.4 Strasbourg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultToulouse to win ✓45%2.202.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.57
Draw no betToulouse (draw no bet) ✓57%1.75–
Asian handicapStrasbourg +1 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.581.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.17
First team to scoreToulouse to score first ✓52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT Toulouse / FT Toulouse ✓26%3.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.11–

Recent results

Toulouse – last 6

LDWDWD
1 Nov@ Marseille0–2L
24 Octvs Estac Troyes0–0D
16 Oct@ Le Mans3–0W
10 Oct@ Monaco2–2D
19 Sepvs Le Havre3–2W
12 Sep@ Lorient2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Strasbourg – last 6

WLLLLD
1 Novvs Auxerre5–1W
25 Oct@ Rennes0–3L
17 Octvs Paris Saint Germain1–3L
11 Oct@ Nice1–2L
19 Sep@ Paris FC1–2L
12 Sepvs Monaco1–1D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Toulouse and Strasbourg.

Toulouse vs Strasbourg head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain10721+1223
2Lille10631+721
3Paris FC10622+720
4Marseille10604+818
5Lyon10523+617
6Nice10523+317
7Monaco10442+216
8Rennes10514016
9Stade Brestois 2910433+615
10Lorient10433+115
11Lens10415+213
12Toulouse10343+113
13Strasbourg10316-410
14Auxerre10316-1110
15Le Mans10154-78
16Angers10226-108
17Estac Troyes10226-108
18Le Havre10028-132

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Toulouse vs Strasbourg?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Toulouse vs Strasbourg?

On our numbers Toulouse have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Strasbourg 34%.

How many goals will there be in Toulouse vs Strasbourg?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Strasbourg?

Our predicted score is Toulouse 1–1 Strasbourg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Toulouse vs Strasbourg?

Toulouse vs Strasbourg (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadium de Toulouse.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.