Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultParis Saint Germain to win ✓74% · @1.14
Double chanceParis Saint Germain or draw ✓94% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Paris Saint Germain host Estac Troyes in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 7 November, kicking off at 20:45 WAT at Parc des Princes. Paris Saint Germain sit 1st with 23 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Estac Troyes are 17th on 8 (in the bottom three). A 15-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Paris Saint Germain – form over the last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Villarreal 6–0 on the road. 4.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Estac Troyes – form over the last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Le Mans 2–0 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game.
On form, Paris Saint Germain have the edge: 3.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Paris Saint Germain 2.6 – 0.8 Estac Troyes in expected goals – roughly 3.4 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 69% for over 2.5 goals, 54% for GG.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Paris Saint Germain 74% · draw 20% · Estac Troyes 6%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – we make it 54%, the price implies 50%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 69% confidence at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Estac Troyes. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Paris Saint Germain74%fair 1.34 · @1.14
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @8.00
Estac Troyes6%fair 17.19 · @17.00
3.40Expected goals
2.63Paris Saint Germain xG
0.77Estac Troyes xG
54%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–09%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Paris Saint Germain 2.6 – 0.8 Estac Troyes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris Saint Germain to win✓
74%
1.34
1.14
Double chance
Paris Saint Germain or draw✓
94%
1.06
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Paris Saint Germain (draw no bet)✓
93%
1.08
–
Asian handicap
Paris Saint Germain -1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.91
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.40
First team to score
Paris Saint Germain to score first✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain✓
53%
1.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.27
–
Recent results
Paris Saint Germain – last 6
WWWWWW
3 Nov
@ Villarreal
6–0
W
30 Oct
@ Le Havre
5–1
W
26 Oct
vs Lyon
2–0
W
20 Oct
vs Barcelona
4–2
W
17 Oct
@ Strasbourg
3–1
W
14 Oct
@ Manchester City
4–2
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Estac Troyes – last 6
WDLLLL
31 Oct
vs Le Mans
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Toulouse
0–0
D
17 Oct
vs Lens
1–3
L
11 Oct
vs Marseille
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Angers
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Lille
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paris Saint Germain and Estac Troyes.
What is the prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?
On our numbers Paris Saint Germain have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Estac Troyes 6%.
How many goals will there be in Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?
Our predicted score is Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Estac Troyes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Parc des Princes.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
