Wed 11 Nov

MVV v Vitesse: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · De Geusselt

MVV

WLLDL
Sun 15 Nov 2026

Vitesse

DWLWL
MVV 32%Draw 21%Vitesse 48% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.72
64%
ZoraTips pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.51

6/10Rating
1.51Odds

Picks by market

ResultVitesse to win48% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.51
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.79

MVV vs Vitesse prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Eerste Divisie action on Sunday 15 November: MVV take on Vitesse at De Geusselt from 14:30 WAT. MVV sit 8th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while Vitesse are 15th on 0 (in the bottom half). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

MVV – form over the last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Emmen 2–0 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 2.2 per game.

Vitesse – form over the last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Jong Ajax 1–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per game.

On form, Vitesse have the edge: 1.3 points a game against 0.7.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 17 Apr 2026, finished Vitesse 0–0 MVV.

Goals outlook

Our model projects MVV 1.3 – 1.7 Vitesse in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 59% for over 2.5 goals, 64% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: MVV 32% · draw 21% · Vitesse 48%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.51.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Both teams to score, rated at 64% confidence at odds of 1.51. Predicted score: MVV 1–1 Vitesse. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

MVV32%fair 3.15 · @3.08
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.56
Vitesse48%fair 2.10 · @2.08
3.07Expected goals
1.35MVV xG
1.72Vitesse xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%

From our goals model: MVV 1.3 – 1.7 Vitesse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVitesse to win48%2.102.08
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score64%1.571.51
Draw no betVitesse (draw no bet)60%1.67–
Asian handicapMVV +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.251.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals59%1.701.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals63%1.601.46
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals80%1.261.15
First team to scoreVitesse to score first53%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time39%2.57–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vitesse / FT Vitesse28%3.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.79–

Recent results

MVV – last 6

WLLDLL
8 Nov@ Emmen2–0W
31 Octvs VVV Venlo1–2L
28 Octvs Excelsior0–3L
23 Oct@ Den Bosch2–2D
18 Octvs Heracles1–5L
9 Oct@ NAC Breda0–1L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Vitesse – last 6

DWLWLD
2 Nov@ Jong Ajax1–1D
28 Oct@ VVV Venlo2–0W
23 Octvs Emmen0–2L
16 Oct@ FC Eindhoven1–0W
9 Oct@ FC Volendam0–2L
3 Octvs NAC Breda2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Apr 2026Vitesse v MVV0–0
MVV vs Vitesse head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for MVV vs Vitesse?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.

Who will win MVV vs Vitesse?

On our numbers MVV have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vitesse 48%.

How many goals will there be in MVV vs Vitesse?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for MVV vs Vitesse?

Our predicted score is MVV 1–1 Vitesse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is MVV vs Vitesse?

MVV vs Vitesse (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at De Geusselt.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.