Wed 11 Nov

Almere City FC v Helmond Sport: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Yanmar Stadion
Sat 14 Nov 2026
Almere City FC 65%Draw 22%Helmond Sport 13% Expected goals 2.47 – 1.10
65%
ZoraTips pick

Almere City FC to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.39

6/10Rating
1.39Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlmere City FC to win65% · @1.39
Double chanceAlmere City FC or draw87% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.49
GoalsOver 2.5 goals69% · @1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.58

Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Eerste Divisie action on Saturday 14 November: Almere City FC take on Helmond Sport at Yanmar Stadion from 20:00 WAT. Almere City FC sit 9th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while Helmond Sport are 7th on 0 (in the top half). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Almere City FC – form over the last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Jong AZ 3–1 on the road. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Helmond Sport – form over the last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to FC Volendam 2–3 at home. 2.2 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

On form, Almere City FC have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 0.5.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 13 Feb 2026, finished Almere City FC 0–1 Helmond Sport.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Almere City FC 2.5 – 1.1 Helmond Sport in expected goals – roughly 3.6 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 69% likely and both teams score 63% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Almere City FC 65% · draw 22% · Helmond Sport 13%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.49.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Almere City FC to win, rated at 65% confidence at odds of 1.39. Predicted score: Almere City FC 2–1 Helmond Sport. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Almere City FC65%fair 1.54 · @1.39
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @4.95
Helmond Sport13%fair 7.88 · @6.05
3.57Expected goals
2.47Almere City FC xG
1.10Helmond Sport xG
63%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: Almere City FC 2.5 – 1.1 Helmond Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlmere City FC to win65%1.541.39
Double chanceAlmere City FC or draw87%1.151.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score63%1.581.49
Draw no betAlmere City FC (draw no bet)84%1.20–
Asian handicapAlmere City FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals87%1.151.05
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals69%1.451.31
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals52%1.931.82
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals70%1.421.30
First team to scoreAlmere City FC to score first67%1.49–
Half-time resultAlmere City FC ahead at half-time50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Almere City FC / FT Almere City FC45%2.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.58–

Recent results

Almere City FC – last 6

WWWLLW
6 Nov@ Jong AZ3–1W
30 Oct@ Waalwijk2–1W
27 Oct@ Telstar2–0W
23 Octvs Roda2–3L
17 Oct@ Emmen1–2L
9 Octvs FC Eindhoven3–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Helmond Sport – last 6

LWLLLL
6 Novvs FC Volendam2–3L
30 Octvs FC Eindhoven3–2W
27 Octvs Willem II3–4L
23 Oct@ Jong AZ4–5L
16 Octvs NAC Breda0–2L
9 Oct@ FC OSS1–3L
2.2Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Feb 2026Almere City FC v Helmond Sport0–1
Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

More Eerste Divisie predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport?

Our pick is Almere City FC to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.

Who will win Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport?

On our numbers Almere City FC have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Helmond Sport 13%.

How many goals will there be in Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport?

Our predicted score is Almere City FC 2–1 Helmond Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport?

Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Stadion.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.