Value bet: Spartak Varna to win @ 3.75 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArda Kardzhali to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.17
Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Spartak Varna host Arda Kardzhali in the First League on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 13:00 WAT at Stadion Spartak. Spartak Varna sit 7th with 16 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Arda Kardzhali are 6th on 21 (in the top half).
Form guide
Spartak Varna – form over the last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to CSKA 1948 1–6 on the road. They score 1.0 and concede 1.8 per game.
Arda Kardzhali – form over the last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Septemvri Sofia 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.8 per game.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 27 Feb 2026, finished Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Spartak Varna.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Spartak Varna 1.1 – 1.4 Arda Kardzhali in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Spartak Varna 32% · draw 22% · Arda Kardzhali 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Spartak Varna to win at 3.75 – we make it 32%, the price implies 27%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Spartak Varna 1–1 Arda Kardzhali. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Spartak Varna32%fair 3.16 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
Arda Kardzhali46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
2.56Expected goals
1.13Spartak Varna xG
1.43Arda Kardzhali xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Spartak Varna 1.1 – 1.4 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
On our numbers Spartak Varna have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arda Kardzhali 46%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our predicted score is Spartak Varna 1–1 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
