Leon 21%Draw 23%Guadalajara Chivas 57%Expected goals 1.01 – 1.82
79%
ZoraTips pick
Guadalajara Chivas or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Guadalajara Chivas to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGuadalajara Chivas to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas or draw ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Leon v Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX – Monday 9 November, 03:00 WAT, Estadio León.
Form guide
Leon – form over the last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Cruz Azul 1–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.7 per game.
Guadalajara Chivas – form over the last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Atlante FC 4–2 at home. They score 1.7 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, Guadalajara Chivas have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 19 Mar 2026, finished Guadalajara Chivas 5–0 Leon.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Leon 1.0 – 1.8 Guadalajara Chivas in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 55% for over 2.5, 60% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Leon 21% · draw 23% · Guadalajara Chivas 57%.
Safer play: Guadalajara Chivas or draw (79%) at 1.28.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Guadalajara Chivas to win at 1.95 – we make it 57%, the price implies 51%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Guadalajara Chivas or draw, rated at 79% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Leon 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Leon21%fair 4.81 · @3.80
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.60
Guadalajara Chivas57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
2.83Expected goals
1.01Leon xG
1.82Guadalajara Chivas xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Leon 1.0 – 1.8 Guadalajara Chivas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our pick is Guadalajara Chivas or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas?
On our numbers Leon have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guadalajara Chivas 57%.
How many goals will there be in Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our predicted score is Leon 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio León.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
