Wed 11 Nov

Deportes Tolima v Millonarios: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
2–1
FT
Deportes Tolima 40%Draw 22%Millonarios 38% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.21
75%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.27Odds
2

Value bet: Millonarios to win @ 3.25 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDeportes Tolima to win ✓40% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.39

Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Deportes Tolima host Millonarios in the Primera A on Monday 9 November, kicking off at 00:10 WAT at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro. Deportes Tolima sit 9th with 26 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Millonarios are 7th on 27 (in the top half). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Deportes Tolima – form over the last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Deportivo Pereira 3–1 on the road. They score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per game.

Millonarios – form over the last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with America de Cali 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.0 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 24 Apr 2026, finished Millonarios 2–0 Deportes Tolima.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Deportes Tolima 1.3 – 1.2 Millonarios in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Deportes Tolima 40% · draw 22% · Millonarios 38%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.82.
  • Value angle: Millonarios to win at 3.25 – we make it 38%, the price implies 31%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Deportes Tolima 1–1 Millonarios. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Deportes Tolima40%fair 2.52 · @2.22
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.20
Millonarios38%fair 2.64 · @3.25
2.46Expected goals
1.25Deportes Tolima xG
1.21Millonarios xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Deportes Tolima 1.3 – 1.2 Millonarios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportes Tolima to win ✓40%2.522.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.32
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.941.82
Draw no betDeportes Tolima (draw no bet) ✓51%1.96–
Asian handicapMillonarios +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.37
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.27
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.09
First team to scoreDeportes Tolima to score first46%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportes Tolima / FT Deportes Tolima ✓21%4.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%12.39–

Recent results

Deportes Tolima – last 6

WLLLDD
3 Nov@ Deportivo Pereira3–1W
26 Octvs Deportivo Pasto0–1L
18 Oct@ Águilas Doradas1–2L
11 Oct@ Jaguares2–3L
9 Oct@ Atletico Nacional0–0D
3 Octvs Chico0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Millonarios – last 6

DDWDDD
5 Novvs America de Cali0–0D
21 Octvs Once Caldas1–1D
18 Octvs Jaguares4–1W
9 Oct@ Fortaleza FC1–1D
4 Oct@ Barranquilla1–1D
30 Sep@ Independiente Medellin2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Millonarios v Deportes Tolima2–0
Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.

Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios?

On our numbers Deportes Tolima have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Millonarios 38%.

How many goals will there be in Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios?

Our predicted score is Deportes Tolima 1–1 Millonarios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios?

Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.