Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUniversitario to win ✗67% · @1.25
Double chanceUniversitario or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Universitario vs UCV Moquegua prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Primera División action on Monday 9 November: Universitario take on UCV Moquegua at Estadio Monumental from 02:30 WAT. Universitario sit 3rd with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), while UCV Moquegua are 17th on 12 (in the bottom three). A 20-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Universitario – form over the last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Sport Boys 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. 2.3 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
UCV Moquegua – form over the last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.2 per game.
On form, Universitario have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Universitario 2.0 – 0.8 UCV Moquegua in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 56% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Universitario 67% · draw 19% · UCV Moquegua 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – we make it 52%, the price implies 48%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Universitario 2–0 UCV Moquegua. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Universitario67%fair 1.50 · @1.25
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @5.50
UCV Moquegua14%fair 7.18 · @12.00
2.81Expected goals
2.02Universitario xG
0.79UCV Moquegua xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Universitario 2.0 – 0.8 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitario to win✗
67%
1.50
1.25
Double chance
Universitario or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Universitario (draw no bet)
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Universitario -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
First team to score
Universitario to score first
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Universitario ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitario / FT Universitario✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Universitario – last 6
DWWWDL
5 Nov
vs Sport Boys
2–2
D
1 Nov
@ Atletico Grau
3–1
W
25 Oct
vs Juan Pablo II College
3–0
W
18 Oct
@ Alianza Atletico
4–1
W
11 Oct
vs FBC Melgar
2–2
D
20 Sep
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
0–4
L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
UCV Moquegua – last 6
DLLWLL
1 Nov
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–0
D
28 Oct
@ ADT
0–2
L
25 Oct
vs Alianza Lima
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
8 Oct
vs Cienciano
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Juan Pablo II College
0–4
L
0.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universitario and UCV Moquegua.
What is the prediction for Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers Universitario have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and UCV Moquegua 14%.
How many goals will there be in Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is Universitario 2–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?
Universitario vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
