Thu 12 Nov

Club Deportivo Los Chankas v Alianza Lima: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio Municipal Los Chankas
Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17%Draw 21%Alianza Lima 62% Expected goals 0.85 – 1.86
75%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Alianza Lima to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAlianza Lima to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceAlianza Lima or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Club Deportivo Los Chankas host Alianza Lima in the Primera División on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 19:00 WAT at Estadio Municipal Los Chankas. Club Deportivo Los Chankas sit 15th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Alianza Lima are 6th on 29 (in the top half). A 15-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Club Deportivo Los Chankas – form over the last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with UCV Moquegua 0–0 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

Alianza Lima – form over the last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Cienciano 1–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.2 per game.

On form, Alianza Lima have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 1.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Alianza Lima 3–0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0.8 – 1.9 Alianza Lima in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 52% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17% · draw 21% · Alianza Lima 62%.
  • Safer play: Alianza Lima or draw (83%) at 1.18.
  • Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
  • Value angle: Alianza Lima to win at 1.75 – we make it 62%, the price implies 57%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–2 Alianza Lima. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Club Deportivo Los Chankas17%fair 5.87 · @4.33
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.75
Alianza Lima62%fair 1.62 · @1.75
2.71Expected goals
0.85Club Deportivo Los Chankas xG
1.86Alianza Lima xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%

From our goals model: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0.8 – 1.9 Alianza Lima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlianza Lima to win ✗62%1.621.75 ▲
Double chanceAlianza Lima or draw ✓83%1.211.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.771.73
Draw no betAlianza Lima (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapAlianza Lima -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.181.14
First team to scoreAlianza Lima to score first64%1.56–
Half-time resultAlianza Lima ahead at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alianza Lima / FT Alianza Lima ✗39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.22–

Recent results

Club Deportivo Los Chankas – last 6

DLLWDD
1 Nov@ UCV Moquegua0–0D
29 Octvs Cusco0–1L
26 Oct@ Deportivo Garcilaso1–4L
16 Octvs ADT2–1W
8 Oct@ Atletico Grau0–0D
30 Sep@ Cienciano1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Alianza Lima – last 6

WLWWWL
4 Novvs Cienciano1–0W
29 Oct@ Sporting Cristal2–3L
25 Oct@ UCV Moquegua1–0W
18 Octvs Atletico Grau3–1W
12 Oct@ Cusco2–1W
1 Octvs Palestino1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Alianza Lima v Club Deportivo Los Chankas3–0
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?

On our numbers Club Deportivo Los Chankas have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alianza Lima 62%.

How many goals will there be in Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?

Our predicted score is Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–2 Alianza Lima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Los Chankas.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.