Wed 11 Nov

Alianza Lima v Cienciano: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
1–0
FT
Alianza Lima 69%Draw 20%Cienciano 11% Expected goals 2.12 – 0.73
78%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlianza Lima to win ✓69% · @1.42
Double chanceAlianza Lima or draw ✓89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 10.91

Alianza Lima vs Cienciano prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Alianza Lima v Cienciano in the Primera División – Wednesday 4 November, 02:00 WAT, Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. Alianza Lima sit 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Cienciano are 12th on 17 (in the bottom half). A 12-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Alianza Lima – form over the last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Sporting Cristal 2–3 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.2 per game.

Cienciano – form over the last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Atletico Grau 3–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 16 May 2026, finished Cienciano 0–1 Alianza Lima.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Alianza Lima 2.1 – 0.7 Cienciano in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 55% for over 2.5, 49% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Alianza Lima 69% · draw 20% · Cienciano 11%.
  • Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.83.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 78% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Alianza Lima 2–0 Cienciano. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Alianza Lima69%fair 1.45 · @1.42
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @5.00
Cienciano11%fair 9.07 · @6.00
2.86Expected goals
2.12Alianza Lima xG
0.73Cienciano xG
49%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–012%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Alianza Lima 2.1 – 0.7 Cienciano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlianza Lima to win ✓69%1.451.42
Double chanceAlianza Lima or draw ✓89%1.121.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.971.83
Draw no betAlianza Lima (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapAlianza Lima -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.281.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.511.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.211.17
First team to scoreAlianza Lima to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultAlianza Lima ahead at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alianza Lima / FT Alianza Lima ✗46%2.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9%10.91–

Recent results

Alianza Lima – last 6

LWWWLW
29 Oct@ Sporting Cristal2–3L
25 Oct@ UCV Moquegua1–0W
18 Octvs Atletico Grau3–1W
12 Oct@ Cusco2–1W
1 Octvs Palestino1–2L
19 Sepvs ADT2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cienciano – last 6

WLWWDL
29 Octvs Atletico Grau3–0W
25 Oct@ Comerciantes Unidos1–3L
19 Octvs UTC Cajamarca1–0W
8 Oct@ UCV Moquegua2–0W
30 Sepvs Club Deportivo Los Chankas1–1D
23 Sep@ ADT1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 May 2026Cienciano v Alianza Lima0–1
Alianza Lima vs Cienciano head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza Lima vs Cienciano?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Alianza Lima vs Cienciano?

On our numbers Alianza Lima have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cienciano 11%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima vs Cienciano?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alianza Lima vs Cienciano?

Our predicted score is Alianza Lima 2–0 Cienciano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Alianza Lima vs Cienciano?

Alianza Lima vs Cienciano (Primera División) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.