Universitario v Sport Boys Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultUniversitario to win ✗69% · @1.45

Double chanceUniversitario or draw ✓90% · @1.10

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.10

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99

Universitario vs Sport Boys prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Universitario v Sport Boys in the Primera División – Thursday 5 November, 02:30 WAT, Estadio Monumental U Marathon. Universitario sit 3rd with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Sport Boys are 8th on 26 (in the top half).

Form guide

Universitario – form over the last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Atletico Grau 3–1 on the road. 2.3 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Sport Boys – form over the last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Cusco 1–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.7 per game.

On form, Universitario have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.5.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 12 May 2026, finished Sport Boys 0–0 Universitario.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Universitario 2.0 – 0.6 Sport Boys in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 49% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Universitario 69% · draw 21% · Sport Boys 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.10.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Universitario to win, rated at 69% confidence at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Universitario 1–0 Sport Boys. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Universitario69%fair 1.45 · @1.45

Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.90

Sport Boys10%fair 9.67 · @7.50

2.62Expected goals

1.98Universitario xG

0.63Sport Boys xG

50%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

2–014%

3–09%

1–19%

2–19%

0–07%

From our goals model: Universitario 2.0 – 0.6 Sport Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Universitario to win ✗	69%	1.45	1.45
Double chance	Universitario or draw ✓	90%	1.12	1.10
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	50%	1.99	2.10 ▲
Draw no bet	Universitario (draw no bet)	87%	1.15	–
Asian handicap	Universitario -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	69%	1.44	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	73%	1.36	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	51%	1.97	1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	72%	1.39	1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	1.11
First team to score	Universitario to score first ✗	70%	1.42	–
Half-time result	Universitario ahead at half-time ✗	49%	2.05	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Universitario / FT Universitario ✗	45%	2.23	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.99	–

Universitario – last 6

WWWDLW

1 Nov	@ Atletico Grau	3–1	W
25 Oct	vs Juan Pablo II College	3–0	W
18 Oct	@ Alianza Atletico	4–1	W
11 Oct	vs FBC Melgar	2–2	D
20 Sep	@ Deportivo Garcilaso	0–4	L
13 Sep	@ Alianza Lima	2–1	W

2.3Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Sport Boys – last 6

WWLLLW

1 Nov	@ Cusco	1–0	W
25 Oct	vs FC Cajamarca	4–2	W
17 Oct	@ Juan Pablo II College	0–2	L
11 Oct	vs Alianza Atletico	1–3	L
6 Oct	@ Alianza Atletico	0–3	L
27 Sep	vs Alianza Atletico	3–0	W

1.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Primera División table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	20	9	4	+30	69
2	Universitario	33	17	10	6	+20	61
3	FBC Melgar	33	16	9	8	+18	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	33	16	7	10	+15	55
5	Sporting Cristal	33	15	6	12	+15	51
6	Cusco	33	16	3	14	-1	51
7	Cienciano	33	15	5	13	+8	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	15	5	13	-1	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	14	7	12	+1	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	13	9	11	-12	48
11	Sport Boys	33	12	10	11	+2	46
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	11	8	14	-11	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	33	8	13	12	-3	37
14	Atletico Grau	33	10	7	16	-9	37
15	ADT	33	7	11	15	-12	32
16	FC Cajamarca	33	8	7	18	-19	31
17	UCV Moquegua	33	7	9	17	-21	30
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	5	9	19	-20	19

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Universitario vs Sport Boys?

Our pick is Universitario to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Universitario vs Sport Boys?

On our numbers Universitario have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sport Boys 10%.

How many goals will there be in Universitario vs Sport Boys?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Universitario vs Sport Boys?

Our predicted score is Universitario 1–0 Sport Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Universitario vs Sport Boys?

Universitario vs Sport Boys (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental U Marathon.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Universitario v Sport Boys: numbers & prediction

Universitario

Sport Boys

Universitario to win