Thu 12 Nov

Azerbaijan v St. Lucia: numbers & prediction

· · Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium
Azerbaijan 69%Draw 20%St. Lucia 11% Expected goals 2.33 – 0.87
62%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 53% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAzerbaijan to win ✓69% · @1.14
Double chanceAzerbaijan or draw ✓89% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38

Azerbaijan vs St. Lucia prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Azerbaijan v St. Lucia in the – Friday 27 March, 16:00 WAT, Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Azerbaijan 2.3 – 0.9 St. Lucia in expected goals – roughly 3.2 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 62% likely and both teams score 53% of the time.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Azerbaijan 69% · draw 20% · St. Lucia 11%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.30.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.30 – we make it 53%, the price implies 43%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 62% confidence at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Azerbaijan 2–1 St. Lucia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Azerbaijan69%fair 1.45 · @1.14
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @6.25
St. Lucia11%fair 8.76 · @15.00
3.20Expected goals
2.33Azerbaijan xG
0.87St. Lucia xG
53%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Azerbaijan 2.3 – 0.9 St. Lucia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAzerbaijan to win ✓69%1.451.14
Double chanceAzerbaijan or draw ✓89%1.13–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.892.30 ▲
Draw no betAzerbaijan (draw no bet) ✓86%1.17–
Asian handicapAzerbaijan -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.701.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗77%1.311.25
First team to scoreAzerbaijan to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultAzerbaijan ahead at half-time ✓51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Azerbaijan / FT Azerbaijan ✓47%2.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.38–

Recent results

Azerbaijan

No recent results on record.

St. Lucia

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Azerbaijan and St. Lucia.

Azerbaijan vs St. Lucia head-to-head page →

More predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Azerbaijan vs St. Lucia?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Azerbaijan vs St. Lucia?

On our numbers Azerbaijan have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and St. Lucia 11%.

How many goals will there be in Azerbaijan vs St. Lucia?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Azerbaijan vs St. Lucia?

Our predicted score is Azerbaijan 2–1 St. Lucia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Azerbaijan vs St. Lucia?

Azerbaijan vs St. Lucia () kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.