Wed 11 Nov

Metalourg v Aral: numbers & prediction

Pro League A · Uzbekistan · Metallurg Stadium
1–0
FT

Aral

WLWWW
Metalourg 61%Draw 14%Aral 25% Expected goals 1.87 – 1.05
61%
ZoraTips pick

Metalourg to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.86 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.86Odds

Picks by market

ResultMetalourg to win ✓61% · @1.86
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Metalourg vs Aral prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Metalourg host Aral in the Pro League A on Monday 9 November, kicking off at 10:00 WAT at Metallurg Stadium. Metalourg sit 3rd with 52 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Aral are 1st on 61 (top of the table).

Form guide

Metalourg – form over the last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Lochin 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They score 1.2 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Aral – form over the last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Gazalkent 2–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Aral have the edge: 2.5 points a game against 2.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 5 Aug 2026, finished Aral 1–0 Metalourg.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Metalourg 1.9 – 1.1 Aral in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Metalourg 61% · draw 14% · Aral 25%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.53.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Metalourg to win, rated at 61% confidence at odds of 1.86, above our fair price of 1.65, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Metalourg 1–0 Aral. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Metalourg61%fair 1.65 · @1.86
Draw14%fair 7.25 · @3.75
Aral25%fair 3.93 · @3.25
2.92Expected goals
1.87Metalourg xG
1.05Aral xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Metalourg 1.9 – 1.1 Aral expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMetalourg to win ✓61%1.651.86 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86%1.161.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.681.53
Draw no betMetalourg (draw no bet) ✓70%1.42–
Asian handicapAral +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreMetalourg to score first ✓60%1.65–
Half-time resultMetalourg ahead at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Metalourg / FT Metalourg ✗35%2.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Metalourg – last 6

DDWDWW
1 Nov@ Lochin1–1D
26 Octvs Gazalkent2–2D
19 Oct@ FarDu1–0W
13 Octvs Shortan1–1D
20 Sepvs Jayxun1–0W
7 Sepvs Pakhtakor II1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Aral – last 6

WLWWWW
1 Novvs Gazalkent2–0W
27 Oct@ Shortan0–1L
18 Octvs Jayxun2–0W
13 Oct@ Pakhtakor II2–1W
21 Sep@ Yaypan5–2W
13 Sepvs Lochin2–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Aug 2026Aral v Metalourg1–0
Metalourg vs Aral head-to-head page →

Pro League A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Aral261943+3561
2Shortan261655+2153
3Metalourg261574+3552
4FarDu261475+1149
5Olimpik-Mobiuz261466+2448
6Kattaqurgon261448+1246
7Gazalkent261268+1142
8Lochin261178+640
9Respublika FA269710+134
10Jayxun268414-1028
11Yaypan268414-1728
12BuxDu265120-3516
13Pakhtakor II264121-4013
14Qiziriq261124-544

More Pro League A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Metalourg vs Aral?

Our pick is Metalourg to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.86.

Who will win Metalourg vs Aral?

On our numbers Metalourg have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Aral 25%.

How many goals will there be in Metalourg vs Aral?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Metalourg vs Aral?

Our predicted score is Metalourg 1–0 Aral, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Metalourg vs Aral?

Metalourg vs Aral (Pro League A) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Metallurg Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.