Mexico v Serbia Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Jun) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMexico to win ✓71% · @1.23

Double chanceMexico or draw ✓93% · @1.04

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.53

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11% · fair 9.26

Mexico vs Serbia prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Friendlies action on Friday 5 June: Mexico take on Serbia at Estadio Nemesio Diez from 03:00 WAT.

Form guide

Mexico – form over the last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Australia 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5. They score 1.6 and concede 0.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Serbia – form over the last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Cape Verde Islands 0–3 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

On form, Mexico have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Mexico 2.0 – 0.5 Serbia in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 50% for over 2.5, 45% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Mexico 71% · draw 22% · Serbia 7%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.53.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 71% confidence at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Mexico 1–0 Serbia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Mexico71%fair 1.40 · @1.23

Draw22%fair 4.63 · @5.70

Serbia7%fair 14.11 · @13.00

2.49Expected goals

1.98Mexico xG

0.51Serbia xG

45%Both score

50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%

2–016%

3–011%

1–18%

0–08%

2–18%

From our goals model: Mexico 2.0 – 0.5 Serbia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Mexico to win ✓	71%	1.40	1.23
Double chance	Mexico or draw ✓	93%	1.08	1.04
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	55%	1.83	1.53
Draw no bet	Mexico (draw no bet) ✓	91%	1.10	–
Asian handicap	Mexico -1 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	50%	1.99	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	71%	1.40	1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	86%	1.17	1.15
First team to score	Mexico to score first	73%	1.37	–
Half-time result	Mexico ahead at half-time ✓	51%	1.98	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Mexico / FT Mexico ✓	47%	2.11	–
Correct score	Correct score 3–0 ✗	11%	9.26	–

Mexico – last 5

WWDDW

31 May	vs Australia	1–0	W
23 May	vs Ghana	2–0	W
1 Apr	vs Belgium	1–1	D
29 Mar	vs Portugal	0–0	D
26 Feb	vs Iceland	4–0	W

1.6Scored / game

0.2Conceded / game

20%Both scored

20%Over 2.5

Serbia – last 3

LWL

31 May	@ Cape Verde Islands	0–3	L
31 Mar	vs Saudi Arabia	2–1	W
27 Mar	@ Spain	0–3	L

0.7Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mexico vs Serbia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Mexico vs Serbia?

On our numbers Mexico have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Serbia 7%.

How many goals will there be in Mexico vs Serbia?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mexico vs Serbia?

Our predicted score is Mexico 1–0 Serbia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Mexico vs Serbia?

Mexico vs Serbia (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Diez.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Mexico v Serbia: numbers & prediction

Mexico

Serbia

Under 3.5 goals