Wed 11 Nov

Universidad de Concepcion v O'Higgins: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Chile · Estadio Municipal Ester Roa Concepcion
Universidad de Concepcion 34%Draw 22%O'Higgins 44% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.45
75%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: O'Higgins to win @ 2.40 – our chance 44% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultO'Higgins to win ✗44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.26

Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Primera División action on Friday 6 November: Universidad de Concepcion take on O'Higgins at Estadio Municipal Ester Roa Concepcion from 00:00 WAT. Universidad de Concepcion sit 15th with 26 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while O'Higgins are 12th on 31 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Universidad de Concepcion – form over the last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Colo Colo 1–6 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game.

O'Higgins – form over the last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Nublense 1–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, O'Higgins have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 0.2.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Universidad de Concepcion 1.2 – 1.4 O'Higgins in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 51% for over 2.5, 61% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Universidad de Concepcion 34% · draw 22% · O'Higgins 44%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
  • Value angle: O'Higgins to win at 2.40 – we make it 44%, the price implies 42%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Universidad de Concepcion 1–1 O'Higgins. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Universidad de Concepcion34%fair 2.97 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.30
O'Higgins44%fair 2.26 · @2.40
2.67Expected goals
1.22Universidad de Concepcion xG
1.45O'Higgins xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%

From our goals model: Universidad de Concepcion 1.2 – 1.4 O'Higgins expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultO'Higgins to win ✗44%2.262.40 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.67
Draw no betO'Higgins (draw no bet) ✗57%1.76–
Asian handicapUniversidad de Concepcion +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.981.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.421.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.171.12
First team to scoreO'Higgins to score first51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT O'Higgins / FT O'Higgins ✗25%4.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.26–

Recent results

Universidad de Concepcion – last 6

LLDLLL
30 Oct@ Colo Colo1–6L
26 Octvs Deportes Limache0–1L
10 Oct@ Cobresal1–1D
3 Octvs Huachipato0–2L
6 Sep@ Palestino1–2L
2 Sep@ Coquimbo Unido0–1L
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

O'Higgins – last 6

WDLWWW
1 Novvs Nublense1–0W
25 Octvs Cobresal1–1D
10 Oct@ Huachipato0–2L
4 Octvs Concepción2–0W
1 Oct@ Concepción1–0W
28 Sep@ Deportes Santa Cruz3–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Universidad de Concepcion and O'Higgins.

Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo271944+2961
2Universidad de Chile271566+2551
3U. Catolica271548+1949
4Deportes Limache2712411+840
5Everton de Vina271179+840
6Coquimbo Unido2611510+438
7Palestino2711511+138
8Concepción2711511038
9D. La Serena279108-237
10Nublense279810-1035
11Huachipato269611-733
12O'Higgins279414-1031
13A. Italiano277911-830
14Cobresal277614-1127
15Universidad de Concepcion277515-2726
16Union La Calera276615-1924

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins?

On our numbers Universidad de Concepcion have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and O'Higgins 44%.

How many goals will there be in Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins?

Our predicted score is Universidad de Concepcion 1–1 O'Higgins, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins?

Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Ester Roa Concepcion.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.