Wed 11 Nov

IF Karlstad v Umeå FC: numbers & prediction

Ettan Norra · Sweden · Sola Arena
2–2
FT
IF Karlstad 62%Draw 18%Umeå FC 19% Expected goals 2.02 – 1.01
62%
ZoraTips pick

IF Karlstad to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultIF Karlstad to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.47
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.04

IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

IF Karlstad host Umeå FC in the Ettan Norra on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 15:00 WAT at Sola Arena. IF Karlstad sit 7th with 45 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Umeå FC are 8th on 43 (in the top half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

IF Karlstad – form over the last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Vasalund 1–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.7 per game.

Umeå FC – form over the last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Sollentuna 3–0 at home. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

On form, Umeå FC have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 0.8.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Umeå FC 0–2 IF Karlstad.

Goals outlook

Our model projects IF Karlstad 2.0 – 1.0 Umeå FC in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: IF Karlstad 62% · draw 18% · Umeå FC 19%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.47.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked IF Karlstad to win, rated at 62% confidence at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.61, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: IF Karlstad 2–1 Umeå FC. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

IF Karlstad62%fair 1.61 · @1.73
Draw18%fair 5.42 · @4.05
Umeå FC19%fair 5.14 · @3.42
3.03Expected goals
2.02IF Karlstad xG
1.01Umeå FC xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: IF Karlstad 2.0 – 1.0 Umeå FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIF Karlstad to win ✗62%1.611.73 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82%1.231.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.47
Draw no betIF Karlstad (draw no bet)76%1.31–
Asian handicapIF Karlstad -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.47
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.631.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.271.19
First team to scoreIF Karlstad to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultIF Karlstad ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT IF Karlstad / FT IF Karlstad ✗39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.04–

Recent results

IF Karlstad – last 6

LLLWDD
1 Nov@ Vasalund1–2L
24 Octvs Stockholm Internazionale1–4L
18 Oct@ Hammarby Talang1–2L
10 Octvs Arlanda3–0W
3 Oct@ Piteå1–1D
27 Sepvs Karlberg1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Umeå FC – last 6

WDWWWL
1 Novvs Sollentuna3–0W
25 Oct@ Karlberg1–1D
18 Octvs Assyriska FF3–1W
11 Oct@ Järfälla2–1W
4 Octvs Hammarby Talang2–1W
27 Sepvs FBK Karlstad1–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Umeå FC v IF Karlstad0–2
IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC head-to-head page →

Ettan Norra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stockholm Internazionale302145+4767
2Enköping301749+455
3Arlanda301668+1654
4AFC Eskilstuna301659+1453
5Hammarby Talang301578+2552
6FBK Karlstad301479+649
7IF Karlstad301299+1045
8Umeå FC3012711-143
9Gefle IF3012513-441
10Karlberg3010713-1537
11Assyriska FF3010515-835
12Sollentuna3081012-934
13Vasalund309714-2034
14Piteå306915-2027
15Järfälla306618-2224
16Stocksund304620-2318

More Ettan Norra predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC?

Our pick is IF Karlstad to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC?

On our numbers IF Karlstad have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Umeå FC 19%.

How many goals will there be in IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC?

Our predicted score is IF Karlstad 2–1 Umeå FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC?

IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sola Arena.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.