Wed 11 Nov

Stabaek v Stromsgodset: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Norway · Nadderud Stadion

Stabaek

WWWWD
2–3
FT
Stabaek 41%Draw 19%Stromsgodset 40% Expected goals 1.90 – 1.88
73%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.23Odds
2

Value bet: Stromsgodset to win @ 2.94 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultStabaek to win ✗41% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.90

Stabaek vs Stromsgodset prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

1. Division action on Sunday 8 November: Stabaek take on Stromsgodset at Nadderud Stadion from 13:00 WAT. Stabaek sit 4th with 58 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Stromsgodset are 1st on 66 (top of the table).

Form guide

Stabaek – form over the last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Kongsvinger 2–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.0 per game.

Stromsgodset – form over the last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Moss 3–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. 3.2 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 5 Apr 2026, finished Stromsgodset 2–1 Stabaek.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Stabaek 1.9 – 1.9 Stromsgodset in expected goals – roughly 3.8 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 73% for over 2.5 goals, 70% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Stabaek 41% · draw 19% · Stromsgodset 40%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.25.
  • Value angle: Stromsgodset to win at 2.94 – we make it 40%, the price implies 34%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Stabaek 2–1 Stromsgodset. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Stabaek41%fair 2.44 · @2.02
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.98
Stromsgodset40%fair 2.49 · @2.94
3.78Expected goals
1.90Stabaek xG
1.88Stromsgodset xG
70%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–35%

From our goals model: Stabaek 1.9 – 1.9 Stromsgodset expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStabaek to win ✗41%2.442.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓70%1.441.25
Draw no betStabaek (draw no bet) ✗51%1.98–
Asian handicapStromsgodset +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.131.03
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.371.23
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓54%1.851.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗65%1.541.44
First team to scoreStabaek to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓35%2.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stabaek / FT Stabaek ✗24%4.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.90–

Recent results

Stabaek – last 6

WWWWDL
2 Nov@ Kongsvinger2–1W
25 Octvs ODD Ballklubb2–0W
18 Oct@ Asane1–0W
14 Octvs Sandnes ULF4–1W
11 Octvs Strommen2–2D
3 Oct@ Haugesund0–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Stromsgodset – last 6

WLLWWW
1 Novvs Moss3–0W
28 Oct@ Molde1–4L
25 Oct@ Strommen0–1L
18 Octvs Haugesund5–0W
14 Octvs Kongsvinger5–1W
11 Oct@ Lyn5–1W
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Stromsgodset v Stabaek2–1
Stabaek vs Stromsgodset head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stromsgodset302064+4666
2Haugesund302127+3565
3Kongsvinger301857+3459
4Stabaek301848+3258
5ODD Ballklubb301479+1249
6Bryne3014412+446
7Ranheim3012513+241
8Egersund3011811-741
9Strommen3011613-1039
10hodd3011613-1039
11Lyn3010416-1534
12Sandnes ULF309615-1433
13Moss309516-1932
14Sogndal308715-1531
15Asane307518-2626
16Raufoss306222-4920

More 1. Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stabaek vs Stromsgodset?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Stabaek vs Stromsgodset?

On our numbers Stabaek have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Stromsgodset 40%.

How many goals will there be in Stabaek vs Stromsgodset?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stabaek vs Stromsgodset?

Our predicted score is Stabaek 2–1 Stromsgodset, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Stabaek vs Stromsgodset?

Stabaek vs Stromsgodset (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Nadderud Stadion.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.