Wed 11 Nov

Lillestrom v Aalesund: numbers & prediction

Eliteserien · Norway
3–2
FT
Lillestrom 61%Draw 20%Aalesund 19% Expected goals 2.32 – 1.25
81%
ZoraTips pick

Lillestrom or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultLillestrom to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chanceLillestrom or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55

Lillestrom vs Aalesund prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Eliteserien action on Sunday 8 November: Lillestrom take on Aalesund from 17:00 WAT. Lillestrom sit 4th with 45 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Aalesund are 15th on 24 (in the bottom three). A 21-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Lillestrom – form over the last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Plzen 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They score 1.3 and concede 1.7 per game.

Aalesund – form over the last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Sandefjord 3–4 at home. On their travels they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are averaging 2.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

On form, Lillestrom have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 1.5.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Aalesund 1–3 Lillestrom.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Lillestrom 2.3 – 1.2 Aalesund in expected goals – roughly 3.6 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 71% likely and both teams score 67% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Lillestrom 61% · draw 20% · Aalesund 19%.
  • Safer play: Lillestrom or draw (81%) at 1.22.
  • Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.36.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Lillestrom or draw, rated at 81% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lillestrom 2–1 Aalesund. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Lillestrom61%fair 1.65 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.50
Aalesund19%fair 5.30 · @4.10
3.57Expected goals
2.32Lillestrom xG
1.25Aalesund xG
67%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Lillestrom 2.3 – 1.2 Aalesund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLillestrom to win ✓61%1.651.70
Double chanceLillestrom or draw ✓81%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.491.36
Draw no betLillestrom (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapLillestrom -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.141.08
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.421.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗50%1.991.91
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗69%1.451.40
First team to scoreLillestrom to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultLillestrom ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lillestrom / FT Lillestrom ✗40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.55–

Recent results

Lillestrom – last 6

LWWWLW
5 Novvs Plzen0–1L
1 Nov@ Start1–0W
28 Octvs Sogndal2–1W
25 Octvs Brann3–2W
22 Octvs Real Sociedad0–6L
18 Oct@ Sandefjord2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Aalesund – last 6

LWLWLW
31 Octvs Sandefjord3–4L
28 Oct@ Kristiansund BK2–0W
25 Oct@ Sarpsborg 08 FF1–2L
17 Oct@ Kristiansund BK4–1W
11 Octvs Sarpsborg 08 FF2–4L
19 Sep@ Molde2–1W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Aalesund v Lillestrom1–3
Lillestrom vs Aalesund head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

More Eliteserien predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

Our pick is Lillestrom or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

On our numbers Lillestrom have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aalesund 19%.

How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

Our predicted score is Lillestrom 2–1 Aalesund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

Lillestrom vs Aalesund (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.