Wed 11 Nov

IFK Goteborg v Malmo FF: numbers & prediction

Allsvenskan · Sweden · Gamla Ullevi
0–0
FT
IFK Goteborg 36%Draw 21%Malmo FF 43% Expected goals 1.39 – 1.53
79%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Malmo FF to win @ 2.60 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMalmo FF to win ✗43% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.39

IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

IFK Goteborg host Malmo FF in the Allsvenskan on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 14:00 WAT at Gamla Ullevi. IFK Goteborg sit 10th with 39 points from 28 games (in the bottom half), while Malmo FF are 7th on 41 (in the top half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

IFK Goteborg – form over the last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to BK Hacken 0–1 on the road. They score 1.0 and concede 0.8 per game.

Malmo FF – form over the last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Hammarby FF 1–2 at home. They score 1.3 and concede 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 12 Jul 2026, finished Malmo FF 4–0 IFK Goteborg.

Goals outlook

Our model projects IFK Goteborg 1.4 – 1.5 Malmo FF in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: IFK Goteborg 36% · draw 21% · Malmo FF 43%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
  • Value angle: Malmo FF to win at 2.60 – we make it 43%, the price implies 38%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 79% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: IFK Goteborg 1–1 Malmo FF. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

IFK Goteborg36%fair 2.76 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Malmo FF43%fair 2.35 · @2.60
2.92Expected goals
1.39IFK Goteborg xG
1.53Malmo FF xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: IFK Goteborg 1.4 – 1.5 Malmo FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMalmo FF to win ✗43%2.352.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.581.57
Draw no betMalmo FF (draw no bet)54%1.85–
Asian handicapIFK Goteborg +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.801.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
First team to scoreMalmo FF to score first ✗50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Malmo FF / FT Malmo FF ✗24%4.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.39–

Recent results

IFK Goteborg – last 6

LDDDWW
1 Nov@ BK Hacken0–1L
28 Octvs Djurgardens IF1–1D
25 Oct@ Gais1–1D
17 Oct@ AIK Stockholm2–2D
9 Octvs Vasteras SK FK1–0W
19 Sep@ IF Brommapojkarna1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Malmo FF – last 6

LWDLWW
1 Novvs Hammarby FF1–2L
28 Oct@ Halmstad3–0W
23 Oct@ IF Elfsborg0–0D
18 Octvs BK Hacken0–1L
12 Octvs Kalmar FF1–0W
3 Octvs FC Nordsjaelland3–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Jul 2026Malmo FF v IFK Goteborg4–0
IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF head-to-head page →

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Hammarby FF281846+3758
2Sirius281846+2358
3Djurgardens IF281648+2952
4BK Hacken2813105+1749
5IF Elfsborg2812106+1146
6Vasteras SK FK281369+245
7Malmo FF2812511+641
8AIK Stockholm281189-341
9Gais2811710+840
10IFK Goteborg281099-1039
11IF Brommapojkarna289811-535
12Mjallby AIF2861012-1328
13Kalmar FF287516-1826
14Degerfors IF285518-2520
15Orgryte IS284816-2720
16Halmstad285518-3220

More Allsvenskan predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF?

On our numbers IFK Goteborg have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Malmo FF 43%.

How many goals will there be in IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF?

Our predicted score is IFK Goteborg 1–1 Malmo FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF?

IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Gamla Ullevi.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.