Value bet: Vitoria to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVitoria to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.21
Vitoria vs Fluminense prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Vitoria v Fluminense in the Serie A – Saturday 7 November, 00:00 WAT, Barradao. Vitoria sit 15th with 38 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Fluminense are 4th on 57 (in the top four). A 19-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Vitoria – form over the last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Coritiba 0–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.5 per game.
Fluminense – form over the last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Internacional 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Vitoria 1.3 – 1.3 Fluminense in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 48% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Vitoria 39% · draw 23% · Fluminense 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Vitoria to win at 2.80 – we make it 39%, the price implies 36%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Vitoria 1–1 Fluminense. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Vitoria39%fair 2.58 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Fluminense39%fair 2.59 · @2.60
2.62Expected goals
1.31Vitoria xG
1.31Fluminense xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Vitoria 1.3 – 1.3 Fluminense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitoria to win✗
39%
2.58
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.75
Draw no bet
Vitoria (draw no bet)✗
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Fluminense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Vitoria to score first✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitoria / FT Vitoria✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.21
–
Recent results
Vitoria – last 6
LDDLWL
29 Oct
@ Coritiba
0–2
L
24 Oct
vs Atletico Paranaense
1–1
D
20 Oct
@ Corinthians
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Sao Paulo
1–2
L
8 Oct
vs Chapecoense-sc
4–0
W
20 Sep
vs Cruzeiro
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fluminense – last 6
WLWLLL
28 Oct
vs Internacional
2–1
W
24 Oct
@ Chapecoense-sc
1–2
L
22 Oct
@ Palmeiras
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs Santos
1–2
L
15 Oct
vs Palmeiras
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Flamengo
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitoria and Fluminense.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Vitoria vs Fluminense?
On our numbers Vitoria have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fluminense 39%.
How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Fluminense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Fluminense?
Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–1 Fluminense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Vitoria vs Fluminense?
Vitoria vs Fluminense (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Barradao.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
