Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultCruzeiro to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceCruzeiro or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Cruzeiro vs Bahia prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Cruzeiro host Bahia in the Serie A on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 01:30 WAT at Governador Magalhães Pinto. Cruzeiro sit 3rd with 60 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Bahia are 6th on 53 (in the top half).
Form guide
Cruzeiro – form over the last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Atletico-MG 1–0 on the road. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Bahia – form over the last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Sao Paulo 3–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.5 per game.
On form, Cruzeiro have the edge: 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Bahia 1–2 Cruzeiro.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Cruzeiro 2.1 – 0.9 Bahia in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Cruzeiro 64% · draw 23% · Bahia 13%.
Safer play: Cruzeiro or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Cruzeiro to win, rated at 64% confidence at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.57, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Cruzeiro 2–0 Bahia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Cruzeiro64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.90
Bahia13%fair 7.74 · @4.33
2.99Expected goals
2.10Cruzeiro xG
0.89Bahia xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro 2.1 – 0.9 Bahia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Cruzeiro to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bahia 13%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 2–0 Bahia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
Cruzeiro vs Bahia (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Governador Magalhães Pinto.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
