Wed 11 Nov

Houston Dynamo v St. Louis City: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Shell Energy Stadium
0–1
FT
Houston Dynamo 41%Draw 22%St. Louis City 37% Expected goals 1.53 – 1.43
64%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Houston Dynamo to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHouston Dynamo to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50

Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Houston Dynamo host St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 01:00 WAT at Shell Energy Stadium. Houston Dynamo sit 5th with 51 points from 34 games (in the top half), while St. Louis City are 3rd on 54 (in the top four). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Houston Dynamo – form over the last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Portland Timbers 1–3 on the road. They score 1.5 and concede 1.7 per game.

St. Louis City – form over the last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to San Diego 0–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

On form, Houston Dynamo have the edge: 1.2 points a game against 0.3.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 23 Aug 2026, finished St. Louis City 2–1 Houston Dynamo.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Houston Dynamo 1.5 – 1.4 St. Louis City in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Houston Dynamo 41% · draw 22% · St. Louis City 37%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
  • Value angle: Houston Dynamo to win at 2.62 – we make it 41%, the price implies 38%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 64% confidence at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Houston Dynamo 1–1 St. Louis City. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Houston Dynamo41%fair 2.42 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.30
St. Louis City37%fair 2.74 · @2.62
2.96Expected goals
1.53Houston Dynamo xG
1.43St. Louis City xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Houston Dynamo 1.5 – 1.4 St. Louis City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHouston Dynamo to win ✗41%2.422.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.581.50
Draw no betHouston Dynamo (draw no bet) ✗53%1.88–
Asian handicapSt. Louis City +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.261.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.741.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.241.18
First team to scoreHouston Dynamo to score first ✗49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Houston Dynamo / FT Houston Dynamo ✗24%4.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.50–

Recent results

Houston Dynamo – last 6

LWDDDD
2 Nov@ Portland Timbers1–3L
29 Oct@ Seattle Sounders1–0W
25 Octvs Minnesota United FC0–0D
18 Octvs FC Dallas2–2D
15 Oct@ San Diego3–3D
11 Oct@ Minnesota United FC2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

St. Louis City – last 6

LLLDLD
31 Octvs San Diego0–1L
29 Octvs Portland Timbers2–3L
25 Oct@ Real Salt Lake0–3L
22 Oct@ Columbus Crew0–0D
17 Oct@ Minnesota United FC2–3L
15 Octvs Vancouver Whitecaps0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Aug 2026St. Louis City v Houston Dynamo2–1
Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City?

On our numbers Houston Dynamo have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and St. Louis City 37%.

How many goals will there be in Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City?

Our predicted score is Houston Dynamo 1–1 St. Louis City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City?

Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Shell Energy Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.