Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC Prediction & Expected Goals (7 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✓66% · @1.45

Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Major League Soccer action on Saturday 7 November: Philadelphia Union take on Toronto FC at Subaru Park from 22:00 WAT. Philadelphia Union sit 6th with 50 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Toronto FC are 12th on 39 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Philadelphia Union – form over the last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to FC Cincinnati 0–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.2 per game.

Toronto FC – form over the last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Atlanta United FC 1–3 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 23 Apr 2026, finished Toronto FC 3–3 Philadelphia Union.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Philadelphia Union 2.3 – 1.1 Toronto FC in expected goals – roughly 3.4 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 66% for over 2.5 goals, 61% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Philadelphia Union 66% · draw 17% · Toronto FC 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Philadelphia Union to win, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Philadelphia Union 2–1 Toronto FC. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Philadelphia Union66%fair 1.53 · @1.45

Draw17%fair 6.05 · @5.00

Toronto FC18%fair 5.57 · @5.75

3.40Expected goals

2.30Philadelphia Union xG

1.10Toronto FC xG

61%Both score

66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

2–09%

1–18%

1–08%

3–17%

3–07%

From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 2.3 – 1.1 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Philadelphia Union to win ✓	66%	1.53	1.45
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	83%	1.20	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	61%	1.64	1.57
Draw no bet	Philadelphia Union (draw no bet) ✓	79%	1.27	–
Asian handicap	Philadelphia Union -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.55	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	66%	1.52	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	55%	1.83	1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	73%	1.36	1.30
First team to score	Philadelphia Union to score first	65%	1.53	–
Half-time result	Philadelphia Union ahead at half-time ✓	48%	2.09	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union ✓	42%	2.37	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.29	–

Philadelphia Union – last 6

LDLDWW

31 Oct	@ FC Cincinnati	0–1	L
29 Oct	@ Nashville SC	0–0	D
25 Oct	vs New England Revolution	1–2	L
17 Oct	vs Charlotte	2–2	D
15 Oct	@ Chicago Fire	3–1	W
11 Oct	vs Real Salt Lake	2–1	W

1.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Toronto FC – last 6

LWLWDW

1 Nov	@ Atlanta United FC	1–3	L
29 Oct	vs DC United	2–1	W
24 Oct	@ Columbus Crew	2–4	L
18 Oct	@ New York Red Bulls	2–0	W
15 Oct	vs Orlando City SC	3–3	D
10 Oct	vs CF Montreal	2–1	W

2.0Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?

Our pick is Philadelphia Union to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?

On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Toronto FC 18%.

How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?

Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 2–1 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Subaru Park.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC: numbers & prediction